Post by account_disabled on Feb 20, 2024 0:12:20 GMT -6
To reach 270 electoral votes, which would give him the presidency, the Democratic candidate first needs to add the 203 votes of the states in which his victory is more or less certain as they are traditional fiefdoms of his party, such as California. , New York, New Jersey, Oregon or Washington. From there, Biden needs to get another 67 votes in the most contested states, which he could get if he wins in Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, which would mean 274 votes, or in Florida, Georgia, Arizona and Ohio, which would imply a victory by 277 electoral votes. Biden can use any combination of these results or even others that include less favorable territories such as Texas or Iowa.
In any case, the Democratic candidate has several options to ensure victory in these elections, while his Republican rival has a little more complicated . What results does Trump need to be re-elected? In the case of Donald Trump, his options to once again occupy the US presidency are more limited, but by no means remote. Thus, his path back Middle East Phone Number List to the White House involves maintaining the territories that traditionally support Republican candidates in presidential elections and beating Biden in a series of decisive states , starting with Florida. In fact, this state has been the most decisive in several presidential elections, such as in 2000, when a claim over Florida ballots gave the presidency to George W. Bush over Al Gore. In fact, no Republican has reached the White House without having prevailed in this southern state, according to CNN .
Therefore, Trump needs to start the night by adding the 125 votes contributed by the traditionally Republican states in the south and center of the country, which added to the 29 in Florida represent a floor of 149 votes. From there, the current US president would have to appeal to the same "luck" that accompanied him in 2016 to repeat his term. Thus, Trump needs the support of 4 disputed states where he enjoys more support, such as Texas, Ohio, Arizona or Georgia, which would give him 83 more votes, and another 2 where he is below in the polls by a narrow margin and where he is already Iowa and North Carolina won 4 years ago, which represent 21 more votes, raising their total to 258 electoral votes. To get the 12 votes he lacks, Trump would have to win in Biden's home state, Pennsylvania , where he already won in 2016 and where the Democratic candidate has seen his lead in the polls shrink in recent months. If he adds the votes of this last state, Trump will be declared the winner of the elections with 278 votes.